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April 8, 2009

Decisions

I’ve noticed that during this recent “financial crisis” as the news stations all report, I’ve succumbed to a different slant on how I make decisions. How do I determine which projects to go after, how do I determine the reliability/stability of potential clients and, after occupancy, what “Leave Behind” is appropriate?

Essentially, the design work is the same although we are modifying some initial design discussions based on what is currently cheap or available in the market (I say cheap, but inexpensive is a more appropriate term). Project management seems to be affected marginally; typically we include a set number of CCA meeting. These days we stick to that number rather than make multiple trips; I guess that’s driven by the bottom line.

Has anyone else modified what you do? Why you do it? Or how you think about it?  I know that I’m getting really tired of listening to the am radio and hearing “… and now for an update on America’s Financial Crisis…”  Really, if what we’ve stepped into is stuck to our shoe, it’s no longer a crisis but a reality and I think it needs a different thought pattern to clean it up.

Lisa Stacholy, AIA

 

February 18, 2009

Hey Buddy/Making Bail

Monopoly Genre: Hey Buddy, can you spare a “Get Out of Jail Free” card?

On our nation's economic bail out, I feel like I’m going to need to make my bail or we will all wind up in Debtors Jail when we can’t shoulder the burden now placed on us.

I’m very puzzled.  The proposed bail out/stimulus (or what ever you want to call it) doesn’t appear to have any direct, “meaningful” tangibility to my practice or my family. Here’s what I've thought about so far:

Let’s start small. For my family, we will not enjoy a $15k tax credit toward the purchase of a new house. We will not  enjoy a reduction in our mortgage payments or mortgage balance. We’ve managed to take on obligations we can manage. Go figure, we follow the “rules” and we don’t get a break.

Let’s stay small. My practice has managed growth and client expectations; nothing earth shattering here except for those pesky “might be able to deduct some expenses-blah, blah, blah.”  Hmmm, I don’t see any immediate CapEx which I could take advantage of. Is this stimulus trying to encourage me to make unsound business decisions just to “stimulate” someone else's economy? Dang, that sounds bitter.

Let’s look beyond the end of my nose. Facts say: GM and Chrysler need at least $4 billion just to stay afloat. Auto sales are down dramatically. What private entity business in its right mind would loan money to make a widget that does not have a strong demand. What’s the likelihood that kind of “investment” would get repaid or would the loan be defaulted?  I don’t think I’d invest in that manner; perhaps if the widget was a “new, improved and totally innovative widget” I might consider it.

Consider the new Advocacy section of the AIA web site, the “Rebuild & Renew” title with the subtitle “Green Communities.  Green Economy” makes me think of how everyone is jumping on the “Green is Good” bandwagon without really thinking about the “how to” of making it all work.  I have yet to make it through the listening to the whole MP3… sounds like a cheerleader to me.  Rah Rah.

Let’s look at how the AIA is supporting the stimulus bill: Schools, Green Buildings, Transit and LCI, Historic Preservation, Tax Relief.  Based on the project mix and billions of dollars investments listed for each category, it feels like it might be a battle between the ant and the sneaker.  If 80% of all AIA members belong to firms that have less than 15 employees, then why does all this cheerleading seem to favor the large/mega firms?  Maybe someone from the AIA can educate me. I’m not seeing the connection to the constituents they should be serving.

Let me make sure I understand the bottom line: $787 billion to create 3,500,000 jobs, that’s a cost of $224,857 per job (so I want to slyly ask, "Where can I sign up for that job?"). Further, the AIA letter indicates an anticipated 14,000 jobs for architects; that has a mere cost of $3.1 million in the “stimulus” enchilada.

Please, someone, post your thoughts and tell me “how/what” you might “see/do” with this change.  I really look forward to the rosy glasses you can share.

--Lisa Stacholy, AIA

September 24, 2008

Batten Down the Hatches

I got a “cute” little e-mail from a former employee of mine.  Actually he was a co-op employee while attending Georgia Tech (it is nice when “kids” I’ve mentored/had as interns stay in touch). Remember, I’m in Atlanta (another damn Yankee carpetbagger; after 20 years, does that still count?). Sean asked, “What’s up with Atlanta?” This past summer we (Atlantans) nearly ran out of water and had to endure extreme water-use restrictions and a full ban on outdoor watering. Now we’re apparently in the only area of the nation that experiences gas shortages on a daily basis (post Hurricane Ike). Hmmm… you folks should be in the city during wintertime when there is a hint of coming snowthe grocery stores experience a run on bread, milk, and toilet paper (I’ve never understood that one).

 

Anyway, to be completely serious, when you see a potential perfect storm brewing, what do you do with your firm?  Do you practice differently? Do you limit operating hours? Do you increase your marketing efforts? Do you hide under a desk with some carpet samples strategically placed around the openings?  Take a look at the newest page at the AIA for some helpful links and tips  (http://www.aia.org/navigatingeconomy).  

I guess the only real “thing” we do differently in my firm is to keep our eyes open and spend a little more time chatting with our pals (engineers, architects, contractors, owners). So far it’s working. We’re busier these days than we were 4 to 6 months ago. What do you do? What do you see? What can you share?

 

 

As for my friend Sean, I’m planning on e-mailing him back with “Yeah, kind of strange and I can’t find my hand basket either.”  HaHa

Lisa Stacholy, AIA

 

 

July 30, 2008

Mortgage Assist "Mess"

I was listening to AM radio this morning (ha ha ha; no pun intended) and the reporter was talking about the upcoming anticipated vote on the new mortgage legislation to “fix” the current mortgage crisis. The reporter was speaking with a mortgage broker who essentially said that the legislation will be devastating to his business as it eliminates the “mortgage assistance” provision currently available. He was whining about how of the files on his desk, over half of them would be shut out of the home purchase market because they didn’t have the down payment. Apparently a typical Fannie Mae/Freddy Mac loan requires a 3% down payment.  On a $200,000 house, that’s $6,000. This guy is whining about folks who can’t come up with $6,000 to buy a house? Are those folks really in a position to handle a house and all the responsibility that goes with it? Hmmm . . .buying a house when you don’t have the money, buying more house than you can afford—isn’t that how this mess started in the first place? When will the madness stop and how can the potential homeowner make better decisions instead of hoping the government will tell them the right thing to do?

—Lisa Stacholy, AIA, NCARB

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